2025: Why Trump Chooses Russia in the U.S.-China Power Struggle




As Donald Trump’s second term unfolds in 2025, the U.S.-China power struggle continues to reshape global geopolitics. However, a surprising shift is taking place—Washington is moving closer to Moscow. While the U.S. has historically viewed Russia as a strategic rival, Trump’s administration seems to see Russia as a useful partner in countering China’s rising influence. But why? And what impact will this have on the global order? Let’s dive in. 👇


🌍 1. Trump’s Second Term & the U.S.-China-Russia Triangle

In 2025, the world’s geopolitical landscape is dominated by three major powers: the United States, China, and Russia. The balance of power is shifting, and Trump’s diplomatic moves are reshaping alliances.

 U.S. vs. China: The Key Power Struggle of 2025

✔️ The trade war is back, with Trump imposing even higher tariffs on Chinese goods. 📈 

✔️ U.S.-China tech rivalry is intensifying, especially in semiconductors, AI, and defense technology. 💻⚔️ 

✔️ Washington is increasing military cooperation with Taiwan and Indo-Pacific allies to counter Beijing. 🚢


👉 3 Reasons Why The South China Sea Is Important : https://carnegieendowment.org/posts/2015/07/americas-security-role-in-the-south-china-sea?lang=en


 Why Is Russia Important?

✔️ Russia controls vast energy resources, making it a key player in global energy markets. ⛽ 

✔️ Moscow’s military power and strategic position influence Europe, the Middle East, and Asia. 

✔️ Russia-China relations are growing, making it crucial for the U.S. to prevent a stronger Moscow-Beijing alliance. 🤝

🤝 Trump-Putin Relations: A Strategic Understanding?

✔️ Trump has historically favored diplomatic engagement with Russia, preferring negotiations over sanctions. 

✔️ Moscow sees an opportunity to improve relations with Washington while maintaining a cautious stance toward China. 

✔️ The U.S. and Russia may find common ground in weakening China’s global ambitions.


👉 Putin wants : https://www.aspistrategist.org.au/to-deal-with-russia-first-understand-what-putin-wants/



🔍 2. Why the U.S. Is Getting Closer to Russia – Strategic Necessity

For the U.S., improving relations with Russia isn’t just about diplomacy—it’s a strategic necessity in countering China’s dominance.

🔵 Containing China: The Key Reason for U.S.-Russia Rapprochement

✔️ If Russia and China form a stronger alliance, the U.S. will face a dual-front geopolitical challenge. 

✔️ Trump’s administration wants to drive a wedge between Moscow and Beijing to prevent a unified front against the West. 

✔️ A more neutral Russia gives Washington an edge in the U.S.-China rivalry.

⚡ Energy Geopolitics – U.S. & Russia’s Shared Interests

✔️ Russia is one of the world’s largest energy producers, while the U.S. is expanding oil and gas exports. 

✔️ A U.S.-Russia understanding could reshape global energy markets and challenge OPEC’s influence. 

✔️ Europe’s dependence on Russian gas is a key issue—Trump may negotiate deals to reduce EU-Russia tensions.


👉 Russia's Economic Sanctions Status : 



🛡️ Military & Security – NATO, Europe & Beyond

✔️ The U.S. and Russia share security concerns in the Middle East—especially in Syria and Iran. 

✔️ Trump’s administration may seek limited cooperation with Russia on counterterrorism efforts. 

✔️ However, NATO allies remain skeptical of closer U.S.-Russia ties, fearing a shift in the security balance.


👉 Trump's call for increased NATO defense spending: https://www.euractiv.com/section/defence/news/trump-asks-europe-again-for-more-defence-cash-leaves-nato-strategy-elusive/



🏛️ 3. The Changing China-Russia Relationship – Why the U.S. Wants to Intervene

While China and Russia have strengthened economic and military ties in recent years, Trump’s strategy aims to disrupt this growing alliance.

🤝 China-Russia Alliance: A Growing Threat?

✔️ China and Russia have expanded trade, energy cooperation, and joint military exercises. 

✔️ Beijing and Moscow share opposition to U.S. influence in global politics. 

✔️ If left unchecked, this partnership could challenge Western economic and security dominance.



👉  China-Russia alliance threatens U.S : https://www.brookings.edu/articles/the-china-russia-relationship-and-threats-to-vital-us-interests/



💰 China-Russia Energy & Economic Ties

✔️ Russia supplies China with oil, gas, and military technology, strengthening their economic interdependence. 

✔️ China is investing in Russian infrastructure and Arctic energy projects, securing long-term resource access. 

✔️ The U.S. fears this cooperation could weaken the effectiveness of economic sanctions on Russia.


🇺🇸 Trump’s Strategy – Disrupting the Sino-Russian Bloc

✔️ The U.S. may offer economic incentives to Russia to distance it from China. 💵 

✔️ Washington could ease some sanctions to encourage Russian companies to diversify trade away from Beijing. 

✔️ Trump’s diplomatic outreach to Moscow is designed to undermine Beijing’s global influence.


👉  China's Isolation Strategy : https://moderndiplomacy.eu/2025/03/02/trumps-two-terms-with-china-isolation-tensions-and-the-cost-of-going-it-alone/


🌎 4. How Closer U.S.-Russia Relations Will Impact Global Economy & Geopolitics

If the U.S. and Russia improve diplomatic ties, it will have significant consequences for energy markets, trade, and global alliances.


⛽ Impact on Energy & Commodity Prices

✔️ Oil & gas markets will shift if Russia and the U.S. coordinate energy policies. 

✔️ Europe may see reduced energy dependence on Russia, altering EU energy strategies. 

✔️ China’s access to Russian energy could be disrupted, affecting Beijing’s economic plans.


🌐 Global Trade & Economic Blocs

✔️ The U.S. and Russia could reshape global trade alliances, reducing China’s economic influence. 

✔️ New trade agreements may emerge, affecting supply chains and investment flows. 

✔️ The BRICS economic bloc may weaken if Russia shifts its focus toward U.S.-aligned trade.


📝 3편: 트럼프 2기와 글로벌 공급망 재편 – 미국의 새로운 경제 전략


🛡️ NATO, Europe & Middle East Reactions

✔️ European nations will be cautious about a potential U.S.-Russia rapprochement. 

✔️ NATO allies may pressure Washington to maintain a tough stance on Moscow. 

✔️ Middle Eastern countries will adjust oil & security policies, responding to changing U.S.-Russia dynamics.


🔮 5. Long-Term Outlook – The Global Order After Trump’s Russia Pivot

As Trump reshapes U.S. foreign policy, the question remains: Will closer U.S.-Russia ties last, or is this a short-term strategy?

🔥 Will U.S.-Russia Cooperation Continue?

✔️ If successful, Washington could prevent a strong China-Russia axis. 

✔️ However, historical tensions and NATO commitments may limit long-term cooperation. 

✔️ The 2028 U.S. election will determine whether Trump’s Russia policy becomes permanent.

🇨🇳 How Will China Respond?

✔️ Beijing may strengthen ties with Moscow, offering economic incentives to maintain their partnership. 

✔️ China could accelerate military & tech cooperation with Russia, countering U.S. influence. 

✔️ The emergence of a three-way power struggle will shape international relations into the 2030s.


📢 Final Thoughts: A New Geopolitical Order?

Trump’s decision to engage with Russia as a counterweight to China marks a dramatic shift in U.S. foreign policy. Will this strategy succeed, or will it create new tensions?

What do you think? Is Trump’s approach a smart move or a risky gamble? Let’s discuss! ⬇️💬


👉  A good article to read together

1. U.S. Intervention in Ukraine's Ceasefire Agreement… But Why Is Saudi Arabia the Mediator? 🤔

https://drmacrocapital.blogspot.com/2025/03/us-intervention-in-ukraines-ceasefire.html

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